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Red55
833221.0
842419.1
364126.7
Blue91
360415.9
317525.2
50341.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6085020401001201405591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#15
26.70.3
26.826.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.6
blue by 15.3
503
#5
41.91.0
40.041.0
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
Second
8332
#16
21.00.3
22.021.7
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End8.8
blue by 4.2
25.21.0
21.622.5
Auto8.1
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Third
8424
#12
19.10.3
10.810.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End5.2
red by 3.3
15.91.0
14.715.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsMissed