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Red59
353857.1
317525.2
15288.7
Blue108
22643.5
50341.9
413023.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85126406010014016018059108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.11.7
52.951.1
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
red by 13.6
226
#1
43.50.5
40.840.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End12.9
Second
25.21.7
28.426.7
Auto8.1
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 16.7
503
#5
41.90.5
38.037.5
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
Third
1528
#21
8.71.7
3.82.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 15.2
23.90.5
33.132.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed98%Hangar oddsEarned