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Red78
50341.9
364126.7
83013.5
Blue95
317525.2
22643.5
99986.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9167204060801001201407895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
41.90.6
41.040.5
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
blue by 1.6
226
#1
43.51.6
40.842.4
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End12.9
Second
3641
#15
26.70.6
26.525.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 1.5
25.21.6
22.524.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Third
830
#10
13.50.6
14.914.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.1
red by 7.0
9998
#18
6.51.8
3.75.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned