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Red87
6810.2
353857.1
22643.5
Blue40
360415.9
364126.7
43958.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124360501001508740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.11.2
50.148.9
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
red by 30.4
3641
#15
26.70.3
28.428.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Second
226
#1
43.51.2
40.239.0
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End12.9
red by 27.6
15.90.3
10.810.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.4
Third
68
#20
10.21.2
14.813.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 2.0
4395
#17
8.20.3
5.65.2
Auto5.1
Teleop1.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed