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Red140
22642.4
24013.0
353845.3
Blue77
364134.1
285121.4
30236.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710005015020025014077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.9
44.945.8
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
red by 8.4
302
#3
36.90.4
37.837.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.7
End8.6
Second
226
#2
42.40.9
42.142.9
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
red by 8.3
34.10.4
35.034.6
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End8.9
Third
240
#11
13.00.9
12.713.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.7
blue by 8.4
2851
#12
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End5.3