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Red108
15282.9
5137.1
353845.3
Blue89
102335.7
30236.9
285121.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410920406010012014016010889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.31.7
44.746.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
red by 8.4
302
#3
36.90.7
39.138.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.7
End8.6
Second
51
#4
37.11.7
35.337.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.4
End9.7
red by 1.5
35.70.7
41.340.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End4.0
Third
1528
#16
2.91.7
1.83.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-1.8
blue by 18.5
2851
#12
21.40.7
18.517.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned