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Red106
283426.0
22642.4
833233.0
Blue126
285121.4
353845.3
30236.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111111105115120125106126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
42.40.4
34.333.9
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
blue by 2.9
45.31.2
46.347.4
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
Second
33.00.4
37.336.9
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End9.7
blue by 3.9
302
#3
36.91.2
40.041.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.7
End8.6
Third
26.00.4
32.432.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End5.1
red by 4.5
2851
#12
21.41.2
18.019.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned