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Red53
842318.4
15282.9
520531.1
Blue110
22642.4
353845.3
285121.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4011005010015053110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.4
29.930.4
Auto7.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
blue by 14.2
45.31.0
44.745.8
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
Second
8423
#10
18.40.4
14.414.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.3
blue by 24.0
226
#2
42.41.0
31.032.0
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
Third
1528
#16
2.90.4
2.02.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-1.8
blue by 18.5
2851
#12
21.41.0
18.719.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed86%Hangar oddsEarned