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Red138
22642.4
24013.0
353845.3
Blue89
283426.0
520531.1
102335.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810602040608012014016013889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.9
42.743.6
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
red by 9.6
35.70.2
37.737.5
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End4.0
Second
226
#2
42.40.9
39.840.7
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
red by 11.3
31.10.2
33.232.9
Auto7.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
Third
240
#11
13.00.9
10.411.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.7
blue by 12.9
26.00.2
28.027.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End5.1