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Red100
22642.4
43958.5
353845.3
Blue99
283426.0
102335.7
520531.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981062040608012014016010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.1
43.643.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
red by 9.6
35.70.0
37.537.5
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End4.0
Second
226
#2
42.40.1
40.740.8
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
red by 11.3
31.10.0
32.933.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
Third
4395
#14
8.50.1
8.48.5
Auto5.1
Teleop0.8
End2.6
blue by 17.5
26.00.0
27.827.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End5.1