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Red35
545911.7
782213.5
147420.5
Blue42
271318.8
41766.1
431111.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272904060801001201401603542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#17
20.50.2
11.611.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8
red by 1.7
18.81.7
6.07.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Second
7822
#27
13.50.2
8.88.6
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.6
red by 1.8
4311
#22
11.71.7
10.612.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End3.9
Third
5459
#25
11.70.2
4.74.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End4.6
red by 5.7
4176
#38
6.11.7
10.111.8
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsEarned