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Red39
176110.2
454615.5
490531.1
Blue42
55638.0
107320.4
431111.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422901020506070803942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.8
15.614.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End8.6
red by 10.7
20.41.0
8.19.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End8.2
Second
4546
#13
15.50.8
11.911.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 3.9
4311
#22
11.71.0
12.313.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End3.9
Third
1761
#28
10.20.8
10.69.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End3.0
red by 2.2
5563
#24
8.01.0
8.99.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed