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Red30
50917.1
542211.3
41766.1
Blue71
55638.0
271318.8
287726.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404602060801003071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#23
17.10.8
18.818.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End10.3
blue by 9.6
26.72.3
22.024.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
Second
5422
#32
11.30.9
10.910.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.7
blue by 7.5
18.81.8
14.616.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Third
4176
#38
6.10.9
8.77.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End2.5
blue by 1.9
5563
#24
8.02.3
6.08.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned