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Red15
63245.7
782213.5
542211.3
Blue18
47617.7
41766.1
20845.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3118010405060701518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7822
#27
13.51.4
9.37.9
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.6
red by 5.8
4761
#21
7.70.3
4.94.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End4.8
Second
5422
#32
11.31.3
9.98.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.7
red by 5.2
4176
#38
6.10.5
7.26.7
Auto2.7
Teleop0.9
End2.5
Third
6324
#34
5.71.3
8.47.1
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 0.1
2084
#30
5.80.5
6.56.0
Auto0.9
Teleop1.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed