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Red45
242312.2
147420.5
55638.0
Blue14
57526.8
856710.9
59627.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3727010205060704514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#17
20.50.4
14.014.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8
red by 9.7
8567
#39
10.91.3
11.510.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.2
End5.2
Second
2423
#35
12.20.4
10.611.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End2.6
red by 4.3
5962
#37
7.81.4
9.98.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.5
End1.4
Third
5563
#24
8.00.4
8.89.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 1.2
5752
#31
6.81.3
5.34.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed