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Red53
47617.7
23828.9
271318.8
Blue56
620116.2
287726.7
57526.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48510204060801001201405356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.90.3
24.424.6
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 2.2
26.70.4
24.725.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
Second
18.80.3
16.316.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.2
red by 2.7
6201
#18
16.20.4
18.819.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Third
4761
#21
7.70.3
4.54.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End4.8
red by 0.9
5752
#31
6.80.4
4.04.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned