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Red81
454615.5
34812.5
581345.2
Blue43
287726.7
234210.8
176110.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52270204060801008143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.21.5
30.031.5
Auto12.3
Teleop20.4
End12.5
red by 18.5
26.71.6
12.514.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
Second
4546
#13
15.52.6
9.411.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 4.7
2342
#29
10.81.6
7.48.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
Third
348
#12
12.51.5
6.68.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
red by 2.3
1761
#28
10.21.6
9.010.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned