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Red30
234210.8
17515.7
196511.7
Blue58
573521.2
454615.5
47617.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41462060801003058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#16
15.70.7
16.015.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End4.4
blue by 5.5
5735
#11
21.20.9
20.921.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.3
Second
1965
#19
11.70.7
13.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End5.1
blue by 3.8
4546
#13
15.51.0
14.215.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Third
2342
#29
10.80.6
9.48.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
red by 3.1
4761
#21
7.70.7
7.88.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed