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Red35
545911.7
395813.0
620116.2
Blue23
147420.5
57526.8
31920.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274001020506070803523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#18
16.20.9
9.410.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 4.7
319
#14
20.91.4
13.311.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End7.1
Second
3958
#15
13.00.9
12.713.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End5.2
blue by 7.5
1474
#17
20.51.4
11.410.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8
Third
5459
#25
11.70.9
4.55.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End4.6
red by 4.9
5752
#31
6.81.4
10.99.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed