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Red106
17731.7
17652.5
712716.4
Blue75
22825.9
216837.3
19512.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11276406010012014010675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
52.50.0
52.552.5
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End12.4
red by 15.2
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.5
End10.3
Second
177
#4
31.70.0
31.631.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End10.6
red by 5.8
228
#6
25.90.1
26.025.9
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End9.8
Third
7127
#15
16.40.0
16.316.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End5.0
red by 3.9
195
#20
12.40.1
12.512.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0