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Red51
107115.3
715320.8
199111.2
Blue39
365415.0
174023.2
662012.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505530406070805139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.1
21.121.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.8
blue by 2.3
23.20.3
23.423.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End3.8
Second
1071
#29
15.30.1
15.215.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.8
red by 0.2
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.0
End11.5
Third
1991
#25
11.20.1
11.511.5
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End0.5
blue by 0.8
6620
#13
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.5