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Red43
237021.0
672312.6
86048.2
Blue39
46716.6
18111.0
17812.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334202060804339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.2
10.511.7
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End8.5
red by 4.4
467
#14
16.60.0
19.419.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Second
6723
#11
12.61.2
12.213.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.6
End3.4
red by 0.6
178
#33
12.00.0
12.112.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
8604
#28
8.21.2
9.210.4
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End2.0
blue by 2.9
181
#16
11.00.0
7.17.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed