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Red79
511211.1
17652.5
534711.5
Blue25
662012.1
40977.6
19512.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74270204060801001207925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
52.51.1
47.648.6
Auto14.7
Teleop25.4
End12.4
red by 40.1
195
#20
12.41.5
13.612.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Second
5347
#27
11.51.8
7.08.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End2.9
blue by 0.5
6620
#13
12.11.5
9.27.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Third
5112
#26
11.11.8
8.610.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 3.6
4097
#31
7.61.5
8.26.6
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed