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Red22
619.8
18111.0
19512.4
Blue7
534711.5
40977.6
102717.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413201020506070227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#20
12.42.1
15.113.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 5.2
1027
#10
17.61.9
12.911.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End11.4
Second
181
#16
11.01.3
9.07.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 0.5
5347
#27
11.53.1
8.65.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Third
61
#34
9.82.1
13.111.0
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End4.1
red by 2.3
4097
#31
7.63.1
9.66.4
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsMissed