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Red39
870910.6
346412.2
46716.6
Blue49
17812.0
17731.7
534711.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060803949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#14
16.60.2
18.418.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
blue by 15.1
177
#4
31.70.2
26.827.0
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End10.6
Second
3464
#24
12.20.4
11.210.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
red by 0.2
178
#33
12.00.2
12.112.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
8709
#23
10.60.4
9.18.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.1
End3.4
blue by 0.9
5347
#27
11.50.3
7.17.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed