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Red18
19512.4
977.9
169921.3
Blue78
237021.0
17731.7
46716.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33680204060801001878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#12
21.31.9
17.715.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
blue by 10.4
177
#4
31.71.2
27.028.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End10.6
Second
195
#20
12.41.9
9.57.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 8.6
21.01.6
14.616.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.8
End8.5
Third
97
#19
7.91.9
8.26.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.0
blue by 8.7
467
#14
16.61.2
18.119.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned