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Red44
169921.3
534711.5
712716.4
Blue64
346412.2
18111.0
226222.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374202060804464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1699
#12
21.30.5
15.816.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End4.9
blue by 0.8
22.11.7
19.120.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End10.7
Second
7127
#15
16.40.5
10.611.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End5.0
red by 4.2
3464
#24
12.22.8
10.713.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
Third
5347
#27
11.50.5
9.19.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End2.9
red by 0.5
181
#16
11.01.7
8.810.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsEarned