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Red52
977.9
715320.8
619.8
Blue47
17812.0
511211.1
107115.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060805247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.4
18.920.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.8
red by 5.6
1071
#29
15.30.4
13.413.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.8
Second
61
#34
9.81.4
12.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End4.1
blue by 2.1
178
#33
12.00.4
11.812.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Third
97
#19
7.91.4
3.85.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.0
blue by 3.3
5112
#26
11.10.7
11.912.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned