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Red40
365415.0
79076.8
226222.1
Blue23
86048.2
271212.7
40977.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4832204060804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.2
20.720.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End10.7
red by 9.5
2712
#32
12.70.9
15.614.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End2.7
Second
15.00.2
13.813.6
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.0
End11.5
red by 6.9
8604
#28
8.20.9
9.58.6
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End2.0
Third
7907
#30
6.80.2
8.78.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 0.7
4097
#31
7.60.9
7.16.2
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed