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Red49
511211.1
174023.2
672312.6
Blue42
46716.6
36236.5
102717.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554420304050607080904942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End3.8
red by 5.5
1027
#10
17.60.1
16.616.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End11.4
Second
6723
#11
12.60.1
14.013.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 4.0
467
#14
16.60.1
16.716.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Third
5112
#26
11.10.1
12.612.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 4.7
3623
#35
6.50.1
9.59.4
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsEarned