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Red14
672312.6
79076.8
36236.5
Blue56
346412.2
199111.2
977.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352801020405060701456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6723
#11
12.61.6
13.912.3
Auto5.6
Teleop3.6
End3.4
red by 0.4
3464
#24
12.23.0
11.814.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
Second
7907
#30
6.81.2
8.47.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 4.4
1991
#25
11.21.9
10.012.0
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End0.5
Third
3623
#35
6.51.8
9.47.6
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End3.6
blue by 1.4
97
#19
7.92.6
5.07.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed