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Red59
693313.9
314616.4
102717.6
Blue34
346412.2
619.8
107115.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050605934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
#10
17.61.8
11.012.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End11.4
red by 2.3
1071
#29
15.30.1
10.510.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End5.8
Second
3146
#21
16.42.9
10.813.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End6.4
red by 4.2
3464
#24
12.20.2
10.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
Third
6933
#22
13.92.9
10.613.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.7
End3.8
red by 4.0
61
#34
9.80.2
11.010.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed