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Red80
12630.7
490535.2
673115.2
Blue101
237030.0
107326.9
320519.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8879406010012080101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End11.2
red by 5.2
30.00.4
29.630.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End9.0
Second
126
#3
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End11.3
red by 3.8
26.90.4
26.526.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
Third
6731
#22
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End9.0
blue by 4.3
3205
#27
19.50.4
19.119.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.7
End6.7