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Red113
237030.0
107326.9
320519.5
Blue64
6118.1
404824.4
15718.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79624010012011364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
28.629.5
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End9.0
red by 5.6
4048
#10
24.40.1
24.424.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
Second
26.90.9
25.526.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
red by 8.8
61
#24
18.10.1
18.118.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End10.6
Third
3205
#27
19.50.9
18.119.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.7
End6.7
red by 1.5
157
#17
18.00.1
18.018.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End8.8