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Red22
362312.1
234215.8
34815.3
Blue51
6927.7
175726.2
88838.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480204060802251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#25
15.80.9
9.99.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End8.5
blue by 11.9
69
#9
27.70.5
21.321.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End11.0
Second
348
#19
15.30.9
13.912.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.2
blue by 10.8
1757
#11
26.20.5
13.013.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Third
3623
#26
12.11.0
8.17.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.3
End6.8
red by 3.7
8883
#34
8.40.9
8.89.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsMissed