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Red35
173514.7
404122.8
856710.7
Blue47
395819.4
500013.4
673115.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041102030506070803547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#20
22.80.2
15.915.8
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 3.4
3958
#13
19.40.3
14.614.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.7
Second
1735
#30
14.70.2
12.412.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.5
blue by 0.5
6731
#22
15.20.3
9.39.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End9.0
Third
8567
#39
10.70.2
9.59.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
blue by 2.7
5000
#33
13.40.3
14.715.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned