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Red52
207914.7
175726.2
862613.3
Blue30
23723.6
856710.7
500013.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424702060801005230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#11
26.20.8
13.514.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End3.5
red by 2.6
237
#5
23.60.9
19.118.2
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
2079
#21
14.70.8
11.712.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.7
End5.8
red by 1.2
5000
#33
13.40.9
15.014.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
8626
#35
13.30.8
15.115.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End5.5
red by 2.6
8567
#39
10.70.9
9.38.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsMissed