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Red66
689510.5
23723.6
6927.7
Blue63
404122.8
6118.1
15718.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801006663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#9
27.70.9
23.023.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End11.0
red by 4.9
4041
#20
22.80.9
15.816.7
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Second
237
#5
23.60.9
18.219.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 5.5
61
#24
18.10.9
11.412.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End10.6
Third
6895
#36
10.50.9
11.712.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.7
blue by 7.5
157
#17
18.00.9
18.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed62%Hangar oddsEarned