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Red56
500013.4
49085.1
107326.9
Blue51
226226.3
88838.4
135012.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55503040607080905651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.4
24.725.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
red by 0.6
2262
#16
26.30.2
24.825.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End12.9
Second
5000
#33
13.40.4
14.114.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 1.0
1350
#32
12.40.2
13.313.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.9
Third
4908
#38
5.10.6
11.912.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.3
blue by 3.2
8883
#34
8.40.4
9.710.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned