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Red39
173514.7
59628.1
320519.5
Blue96
584615.7
490535.2
6927.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3585020601001201403996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#27
19.50.0
16.316.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.7
End6.7
blue by 15.7
35.21.5
32.834.4
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End11.2
Second
1735
#30
14.70.0
14.314.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.5
blue by 13.0
69
#9
27.71.5
23.925.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End11.0
Third
5962
#29
8.10.0
8.98.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 7.6
5846
#23
15.71.5
16.518.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned