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Red70
13824.4
870810.7
395819.4
Blue27
135012.4
49085.1
40348.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52350204060801007027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#8
24.41.5
22.223.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End14.1
red by 12.0
1350
#32
12.40.5
13.513.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.9
Second
3958
#13
19.41.5
16.417.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.7
red by 11.1
4034
#37
8.30.5
8.88.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Third
8708
#28
10.71.5
8.39.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 5.6
4908
#38
5.10.9
12.511.6
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed