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Red82
673115.2
12630.7
332317.0
Blue63
6118.1
500013.4
175726.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594320801008263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#3
30.71.6
24.426.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End11.3
red by 4.5
1757
#11
26.21.4
15.616.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Second
3323
#15
17.01.6
17.419.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End3.8
blue by 1.1
61
#24
18.11.4
12.313.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End10.6
Third
6731
#22
15.21.6
11.513.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End9.0
red by 1.7
5000
#33
13.41.4
14.415.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned