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Red46
135012.4
34815.3
856710.7
Blue40
689510.5
59628.1
362312.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060804640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#19
15.30.4
15.015.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.2
red by 3.2
3623
#26
12.10.5
10.711.2
Auto0.9
Teleop4.3
End6.8
Second
1350
#32
12.40.4
13.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.9
red by 1.9
6895
#36
10.50.5
12.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Third
8567
#39
10.70.4
11.411.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
red by 2.6
5962
#29
8.10.5
8.89.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed