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Red64
673115.2
870810.7
404122.8
Blue78
12120.4
107326.9
332317.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386902060801001206478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#20
22.81.6
16.418.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 4.1
26.90.6
25.426.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
Second
6731
#22
15.21.6
13.114.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End9.0
blue by 5.3
121
#4
20.40.6
16.216.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.4
End5.9
Third
8708
#28
10.71.6
9.911.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 6.3
3323
#15
17.00.6
19.019.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned