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Red62
175726.2
226226.3
237030.0
Blue72
174030.5
13824.4
404824.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69772040601001201406272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.3
24.524.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End9.0
blue by 0.5
30.50.0
26.326.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End4.2
Second
2262
#16
26.30.3
24.824.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End12.9
red by 1.9
138
#8
24.40.0
23.723.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End14.1
Third
1757
#11
26.20.3
16.916.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End3.5
red by 1.8
4048
#10
24.40.0
21.721.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned