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Red68
23723.6
490535.2
12120.4
Blue26
88838.4
207914.7
689510.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843202040601001201406826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
34.534.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End11.2
red by 20.5
2079
#21
14.70.7
13.412.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.7
End5.8
Second
237
#5
23.60.3
20.820.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 13.1
6895
#36
10.50.7
12.912.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Third
121
#4
20.40.3
16.816.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.4
End5.9
red by 12.1
8883
#34
8.41.2
10.59.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed