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Red42
500013.4
59628.1
34815.3
Blue16
88838.4
234215.8
870810.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060804216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#19
15.30.0
15.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.2
blue by 0.5
2342
#25
15.81.1
11.510.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End8.5
Second
5000
#33
13.40.0
16.516.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 2.7
8708
#28
10.71.1
11.510.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
5962
#29
8.10.0
9.49.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 0.3
8883
#34
8.41.8
9.37.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed