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Red27
49085.1
584615.7
173514.7
Blue102
175726.2
234215.8
854421.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37610208010012027102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#23
15.70.7
16.415.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 10.5
1757
#11
26.23.2
23.927.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Second
1735
#30
14.70.7
15.414.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.5
blue by 6.5
8544
#18
21.23.2
18.321.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Third
4908
#38
5.10.8
5.95.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End1.3
blue by 10.7
2342
#25
15.83.2
12.415.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned