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Red96
12530.4
17223.7
456426.1
Blue47
15713.0
568719.3
345119.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5836020801009647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
30.44.6
18.823.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
red by 11.1
5687
#11
19.31.0
15.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Second
26.14.9
18.423.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End9.6
red by 6.9
3451
#13
19.21.2
14.215.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End7.5
Third
172
#6
23.74.9
14.619.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End7.5
red by 10.7
157
#12
13.01.1
6.67.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned