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Red19
15713.0
61610.8
19014.8
Blue69
345119.2
13331.5
581330.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28460204060801001969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#18
14.81.5
13.311.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.7
End4.0
blue by 16.7
133
#2
31.53.1
17.320.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End8.3
Second
157
#12
13.01.5
5.33.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End4.6
blue by 17.0
30.03.1
13.116.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Third
6161
#22
0.81.5
10.38.8
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.1
End-1.2
blue by 18.4
3451
#13
19.23.1
10.513.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned